Lorient vs Istres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
14.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
TFC
3 - 1
LOR
38%
27%
36%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
MON
0 - 3
LOR
5%
13%
82%
|
76 | 7 | 69 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2002 |
LOR
1 - 0
VAL
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2002 |
AMI
0 - 2
LOR
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
LOR
0 - 2
GRE
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2002 |
IST
1 - 0
FCG
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
IST
1 - 2
LIL
26%
30%
44%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
REI
2 - 2
IST
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
IST
1 - 1
CLE
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
AMI
1 - 1
IST
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |