Lorient vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
NIO
1 - 2
LOR
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2004 |
LOR
2 - 0
ANG
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2004 |
TRO
3 - 3
LOR
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
LOR
1 - 0
STL
63%
21%
15%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
GRE
1 - 1
LOR
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
FCG
2 - 0
CHA
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2004 |
ASS
1 - 1
FCG
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
FCG
1 - 2
LHA
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
ASN
0 - 2
FCG
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
NIO
1 - 3
FCG
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |