Lorient vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
STL
0 - 1
LOR
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
LOR
2 - 0
CHA
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
ESW
1 - 2
LOR
28%
26%
46%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
LOR
0 - 0
CLE
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
GIR
2 - 0
LOR
68%
20%
13%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
AMI
0 - 0
FCG
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
FCG
2 - 0
CLE
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
GRE
2 - 0
FCG
50%
25%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
FCG
2 - 1
STL
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2003 |
FCG
2 - 2
CHA
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |