Lorient vs Creteil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
15%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2001 |
STL
1 - 2
LOR
34%
28%
38%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
LOR
2 - 0
ESW
63%
23%
14%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2001 |
LHA
1 - 1
LOR
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2001 |
ASN
0 - 1
LOR
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
LOR
1 - 4
FCG
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2001 |
LUS
2 - 0
LHA
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2001 |
MPL
1 - 1
LUS
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
LUS
1 - 0
SOC
22%
26%
52%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
CAN
4 - 2
LUS
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2001 |
LUS
1 - 1
ANG
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |