Lorient vs Clermont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
10º
1º
24
6º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
46 | 70 |
1º
|
72.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 64 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 62 |
3º
|
28.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 59 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 54 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 54 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 52 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 47 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 43 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 42 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 38 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 36 |
16º
|
31% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 30 |
17º
|
41% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 29 |
18º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
90% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
10% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 89% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
DUN
0 - 1
LOR
28%
26%
46%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
CAN
2 - 1
LOR
16%
21%
64%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
LOR
0 - 0
MET
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
STL
2 - 0
LOR
29%
26%
45%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
TOU
0 - 3
LOR
6%
13%
82%
|
82 | 46 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Clermont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CLE
1 - 1
STL
49%
27%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
FCM
0 - 1
CLE
27%
28%
46%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2025 |
CAE
0 - 1
CLE
35%
28%
37%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
SOC
0 - 0
CLE
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
CLE
1 - 1
ROD
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |