Lorient vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2018 |
AUX
0 - 0
LOR
21%
25%
54%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
LOR
2 - 2
LEN
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
TRO
2 - 0
LOR
27%
26%
47%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SAI
1 - 0
LOR
6%
13%
82%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
LOR
2 - 1
PFC
63%
23%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 1
NIO
6%
12%
82%
|
61 | 32 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
NIO
1 - 0
VAL
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
GAZ
0 - 1
NIO
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
NIO
0 - 1
CHA
41%
27%
33%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 2
NIO
6%
15%
79%
|
61 | 22 | 39 | 0 |