Lorient vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
18.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
ANG
1 - 1
LOR
23%
27%
50%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2003 |
LOR
1 - 0
TRO
45%
26%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2003 |
STL
2 - 2
LOR
27%
26%
46%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
LOR
2 - 1
GRE
68%
21%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2003 |
CLE
0 - 4
LOR
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2003 |
ASS
2 - 1
NIO
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
NIO
2 - 2
ASN
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
NIO
0 - 0
CHA
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
FCG
1 - 2
NIO
45%
27%
27%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2003 |
NIO
0 - 0
LHA
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |