Lorient vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
35.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
LOR
0 - 3
PSG
36%
30%
34%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
ASN
2 - 0
LOR
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
LOR
0 - 1
REN
36%
29%
35%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
STR
0 - 0
LOR
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
LOR
1 - 3
VAL
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
CAE
2 - 1
TFC
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
TFC
3 - 3
CAE
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
CAE
1 - 2
MET
52%
26%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
ASS
3 - 0
CAE
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
CAE
2 - 2
SOC
35%
26%
38%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |