Lorient vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1997 |
ESW
1 - 2
LOR
24%
25%
51%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1997 |
LOR
3 - 0
TRO
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
ASN
2 - 0
LOR
57%
23%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1997 |
LOR
1 - 1
FCM
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1997 |
AMI
3 - 0
LOR
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1997 |
CAE
1 - 1
RED
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1997 |
NÎM
3 - 1
CAE
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
CAE
0 - 0
LMU
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1997 |
LIL
3 - 0
CAE
53%
25%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1997 |
CAE
5 - 0
FCM
64%
22%
15%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |