Lorient vs Chateauroux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
AJA
0 - 1
LOR
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
MON
1 - 0
LOR
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | -2 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
LOR
4 - 1
SOC
45%
27%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1999 |
ASN
2 - 0
LOR
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1999 |
TFC
1 - 4
LOR
47%
26%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
CHA
3 - 3
VAL
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
CHA
0 - 0
NIC
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
ASS
0 - 0
CHA
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1999 |
CHA
0 - 1
LIL
50%
27%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
FCG
2 - 1
CHA
49%
26%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |