Lorient vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
LYO
0 - 0
LOR
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
ANG
0 - 0
LOR
24%
25%
51%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
NAN
4 - 1
LOR
40%
27%
34%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
ORL
1 - 0
LOR
15%
22%
63%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
BRE
0 - 1
LOR
23%
25%
52%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
BAS
2 - 1
REN
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
UDI
2 - 3
BAS
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
BAS
27%
25%
48%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
ETG
2 - 1
BAS
39%
26%
36%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2015 |
AJA
1 - 1
BAS
21%
24%
55%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |