Lorient vs Amiens SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
17.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
NIO
4 - 0
LOR
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2004 |
LOR
1 - 1
GUI
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
ASN
1 - 0
LOR
37%
28%
36%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
STL
0 - 0
LOR
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
LOR
1 - 2
ANG
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Amiens SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
AMI
0 - 2
ANG
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
TRO
0 - 0
AMI
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
AMI
2 - 1
DIJ
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2004 |
MPL
0 - 2
AMI
60%
23%
16%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
AMI
2 - 2
CHA
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |