Lorient vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
12.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
10º
1º
24
5º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
43 | 69 |
1º
|
72% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 64 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 62 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 56 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 54 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 53 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 51 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 47 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 45 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 45 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 44 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 41 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 40 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 36 |
16º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 30 |
17º
|
28% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 30 |
18º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
90% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
9.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 46% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 26.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 27.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
PAU
1 - 0
LOR
28%
26%
47%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MET
1 - 1
LOR
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 1
RED
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AMI
1 - 0
LOR
21%
25%
54%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 0
GRE
65%
22%
13%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 0
GRE
34%
30%
36%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 0
AJA
51%
27%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
STL
1 - 1
AJA
49%
27%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 1
TRO
36%
29%
36%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
RED
1 - 0
AJA
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |