Lorient vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
10.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
1º
7º
1º
7
5º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
4º
|
10 | 65 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 61 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 56 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 54 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
1º
|
11 | 52 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 48 |
6º
|
4.5% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 48 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 48 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 46 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 45 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 44 |
11º
|
5.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 44 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 43 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 43 |
14º
|
6% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 40 |
15º
|
9% | |
|
|
11º
|
7 | 35 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 35 |
17º
|
12% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 33 |
18º
|
29% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
63.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
27% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
9.5% | 53% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 36.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MET
1 - 1
LOR
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 1
RED
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AMI
1 - 0
LOR
21%
25%
54%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 0
GRE
65%
22%
13%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
FCM
0 - 1
LOR
26%
26%
49%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 0
AJA
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
STL
1 - 1
AJA
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
AJA
2 - 1
TRO
36%
29%
36%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
RED
1 - 0
AJA
55%
25%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
AJA
1 - 0
ROD
27%
28%
45%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |