Lorient vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2000 |
NIC
3 - 1
LOR
36%
30%
35%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2000 |
LOR
0 - 1
NÎM
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2000 |
STL
1 - 1
LOR
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2000 |
LOR
0 - 2
GUI
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
AMI
0 - 0
LOR
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2000 |
AJA
2 - 1
VAL
52%
26%
23%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2000 |
CAN
2 - 0
AJA
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2000 |
AJA
1 - 0
CAE
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2000 |
LMU
1 - 1
AJA
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
AJA
2 - 2
NIO
51%
27%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |