Lorient U19 vs USSA Vertou U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
6.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
3º
1º
23
9º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
74% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
74% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
56% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
89% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
89% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AVR
0 - 1
LOR
37%
22%
42%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
LOR
2 - 0
CHA
51%
21%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BOR
1 - 2
LOR
53%
21%
26%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CON
1 - 5
LOR
24%
20%
56%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
LOR
4 - 3
STA
19%
20%
61%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
USSA Vertou U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
VER
1 - 2
ANG
8%
17%
75%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
NAN
6 - 0
VER
92%
6%
2%
|
13 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
VER
0 - 4
STA
8%
16%
76%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
REN
8 - 2
VER
88%
9%
3%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
VER
1 - 2
NIO
11%
17%
72%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |