Lorient U19 vs Avranches U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
23.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
3º
1º
35
6º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
74% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
74% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
56% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
89% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
89% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 4
LOR
29%
21%
50%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
LOR
5 - 0
BOR
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
LOR
1 - 4
ANG
39%
23%
38%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
NAN
7 - 0
LOR
72%
17%
12%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
LOR
3 - 2
STA
37%
22%
41%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Avranches U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
AVR
0 - 0
ANG
29%
24%
47%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NAN
1 - 0
AVR
81%
13%
6%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
AVR
1 - 0
REN
28%
23%
49%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
GUI
1 - 3
AVR
32%
24%
44%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
AVR
1 - 1
TRE
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |