Lorient U17 vs Avranches U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
38.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
8º
5º
21
9º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
NAN
1 - 0
LOR
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LOR
1 - 1
ANG
9%
14%
77%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SRS
1 - 1
LOR
17%
19%
64%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LOR
3 - 1
CHO
41%
21%
37%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 2
LOR
42%
22%
36%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Avranches U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
AVR
0 - 3
GUI
41%
22%
37%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BRE
4 - 2
AVR
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
AVR
2 - 0
VER
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MAN
3 - 1
AVR
26%
21%
53%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
AVR
2 - 4
NIO
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |