Lorient II vs Stade Rennais II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
4º
12º
4º
23
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
30 | 54 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 53 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 46 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
16 | 43 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
|
4º
|
23 | 43 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 41 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 33 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 32 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 31 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 28 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 26 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 26 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 25 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 25 |
14º
|
18% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 96% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SPM
1 - 1
LOR
29%
25%
46%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
LOR
1 - 0
GUI
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
CES
0 - 2
LOR
22%
24%
54%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LOR
3 - 3
AFV
52%
23%
24%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PON
2 - 2
LOR
11%
20%
69%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Stade Rennais II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
STA
1 - 1
SAI
79%
13%
8%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 1
STA
19%
21%
60%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
STA
1 - 1
FLE
74%
14%
12%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
STA
1 - 2
SPM
57%
21%
22%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
STA
2 - 3
GUI
52%
22%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |