Lorient II vs Cherbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
39.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
LOR
5 - 1
FON
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
VCH
1 - 2
LOR
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 2
MOU
30%
26%
43%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
AVR
1 - 1
LOR
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 4
LPS
32%
27%
41%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Cherbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
FON
0 - 2
CHE
34%
28%
38%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 1
LUC
53%
25%
23%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
VCH
4 - 1
CHE
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
STA
0 - 2
CHE
27%
27%
46%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 1
LAV
43%
29%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |