UD Loreto vs C.D. Atlético Porvenir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
38%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Loreto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 1
LOR
38%
23%
39%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 2
CAN
73%
16%
12%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
LOR
38%
23%
39%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LOR
2 - 0
PIL
43%
23%
35%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 3
LOR
25%
22%
53%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
C.D. Atlético Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
POR
7 - 2
BEL
71%
16%
14%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 2
POR
25%
21%
54%
|
9 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
POR
2 - 2
VIL
51%
21%
28%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CAN
0 - 1
POR
35%
22%
43%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
POR
1 - 2
MON
60%
19%
21%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | -1 |