Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-4
CF Lorca Deportiva vs Torre Pacheco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
POR
1 - 1
LOR
49%
31%
20%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
LOR
3 - 0
SFE
66%
23%
11%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
ALG
1 - 1
LOR
57%
28%
15%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
LOR
2 - 1
POR
57%
27%
16%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
LOR
1 - 0
CFC
48%
29%
23%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Torre Pacheco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
PIN
2 - 0
CIE
54%
24%
22%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
MUL
1 - 0
PIN
44%
27%
29%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -2 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
PIN
2 - 1
PIN
61%
23%
16%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
JUM
1 - 0
PIN
43%
28%
29%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
PIN
1 - 0
ALB
42%
28%
30%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +2 |