CF Lorca Deportiva vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
23.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
TAL
1 - 1
LOR
49%
29%
23%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
LOR
1 - 1
AGD
55%
27%
17%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1985 |
LOR
1 - 0
MAL
29%
29%
42%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1985 |
LEV
3 - 1
LOR
61%
24%
15%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1985 |
LOR
1 - 0
BET
61%
25%
14%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
RJA
1 - 0
MNC
66%
22%
12%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
ALC
2 - 0
RJA
37%
31%
31%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1985 |
RJA
1 - 2
CCF
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1985 |
RJA
1 - 1
PBL
60%
24%
16%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
TAL
2 - 1
RJA
43%
30%
27%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |