CF Lorca Deportiva vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
16%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
32.5%
Draw
0-0
16.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32.5%
29.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1988 |
BAL
1 - 0
LOR
69%
21%
10%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1988 |
LOR
0 - 0
OLI
40%
30%
30%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1988 |
VIL
2 - 0
LOR
67%
22%
11%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1988 |
LOR
1 - 0
POL
50%
27%
24%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1988 |
GRA
4 - 0
LOR
67%
23%
10%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1988 |
MEL
2 - 0
ALC
48%
28%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1988 |
ALG
2 - 2
MEL
53%
29%
18%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1988 |
MEL
3 - 1
NUL
66%
22%
12%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1988 |
LEV
2 - 1
MEL
63%
24%
13%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1988 |
MEL
2 - 1
HER
29%
31%
40%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +2 |