CF Lorca Deportiva vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
13.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
42.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
TOR
1 - 0
LOR
58%
26%
17%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
LOR
2 - 0
ELD
30%
31%
39%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +2 |
| 28 May. 1989 |
AMA
3 - 0
LOR
67%
22%
11%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1989 |
LOR
0 - 1
CFC
32%
30%
38%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1989 |
MEL
2 - 0
LOR
59%
26%
15%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
HER
2 - 2
ALC
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
ALG
0 - 1
HER
34%
30%
37%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1989 |
HER
1 - 1
NUL
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
LEV
4 - 1
HER
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1989 |
HER
1 - 1
GAN
68%
21%
12%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |