Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 0-3
CF Lorca Deportiva vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
54.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1981 |
LOR
1 - 1
ALB
54%
22%
24%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
ORI
1 - 2
LOR
50%
26%
24%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
LOR
3 - 1
OLI
65%
21%
14%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
ALM
1 - 3
LOR
48%
27%
25%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
LOR
3 - 0
ELC
65%
21%
14%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
MUR
2 - 2
HER
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1981 |
HER
5 - 1
SEV
42%
28%
31%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
ATH
5 - 3
HER
78%
14%
8%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
HER
1 - 0
ALM
60%
24%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1981 |
HER
3 - 2
FIG
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 40 | 36 | 0 |