Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-1
CF Lorca Deportiva vs Ilicitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
+2
22%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1984 |
LOR
1 - 2
ATH
37%
28%
35%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1984 |
ATB
2 - 1
LOR
65%
22%
14%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1984 |
DEP
3 - 0
LOR
65%
23%
12%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1984 |
LOR
0 - 0
ORI
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1984 |
LOR
1 - 0
SLA
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1984 |
ELC
1 - 3
YEC
33%
26%
41%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1984 |
CFB
3 - 1
ELC
49%
26%
25%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1984 |
ELC
1 - 1
HOR
68%
19%
13%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1984 |
CAR
2 - 1
ELC
32%
27%
41%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
ELC
1 - 0
ALC
58%
22%
20%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |