Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-3
CF Lorca Deportiva vs UD Alzira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
LOR
1 - 1
TOR
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
CRE
0 - 0
LOR
51%
26%
24%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
UD Alzira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
ALZ
0 - 0
GAN
38%
32%
30%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
ALM
2 - 0
ALZ
64%
23%
14%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
ALZ
2 - 0
TOR
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
PBL
3 - 3
ALZ
56%
27%
18%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
ALZ
7 - 1
MNC
67%
21%
12%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |