Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-0
Lorca Deportiva vs Villafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
12%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.2%
4.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
CEM
1 - 4
LOR
60%
22%
19%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
LOR
3 - 1
RCD
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
FCB
0 - 0
LOR
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
VIL
0 - 0
LOR
26%
24%
50%
|
52 | 20 | 32 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
LOR
3 - 2
MME
53%
22%
24%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
VIL
2 - 3
MOR
14%
23%
63%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
PLA
1 - 0
VIL
64%
21%
15%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
VIL
0 - 0
LOR
26%
24%
50%
|
20 | 52 | 32 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
VIL
3 - 0
GUA
63%
22%
15%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
CPA
4 - 0
VIL
50%
24%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |