Lorca Deportiva vs Talavera CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
CDZ
1 - 0
LOR
29%
29%
41%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
LOR
0 - 0
CAR
66%
21%
14%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
CDB
2 - 0
LOR
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2004 |
LOR
3 - 1
MME
74%
16%
11%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
LOR
4 - 4
ARE
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Talavera CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
TAL
0 - 0
ALG
26%
30%
44%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
TAL
2 - 0
MEL
39%
31%
31%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
CDZ
2 - 1
TAL
33%
30%
37%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
TAL
2 - 0
CAR
39%
30%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
CDB
0 - 0
TAL
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |