Lorca Deportiva vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
52.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
NOV
0 - 1
LOR
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
LOR
1 - 1
GIR
76%
15%
9%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
YEC
2 - 1
LOR
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
LOR
1 - 0
GIM
32%
27%
42%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
LOR
3 - 0
VIL
87%
9%
4%
|
54 | 21 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
MUR
1 - 0
ALB
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
SEV
1 - 0
MUR
67%
21%
13%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
MUR
2 - 2
ATH
26%
25%
49%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
ZAR
3 - 0
MUR
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
MUR
1 - 1
RAC
40%
26%
35%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |