Lorca Deportiva vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
ALG
0 - 0
LOR
55%
26%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
LOR
2 - 1
TAL
62%
22%
17%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
CDZ
1 - 0
LOR
29%
29%
41%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
LOR
0 - 0
CAR
66%
21%
14%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
CDB
2 - 0
LOR
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
MEL
0 - 1
AGD
35%
30%
35%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ALG
0 - 0
MEL
64%
23%
13%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
MEL
1 - 3
UBC
32%
29%
39%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
TAL
2 - 0
MEL
39%
31%
31%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
MEL
0 - 0
DBN
56%
25%
19%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |