Lorca Deportiva vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
7.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
TAL
0 - 0
LOR
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
LOR
2 - 0
RJA
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
ALG
1 - 0
LOR
19%
28%
53%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
LOR
0 - 0
ALC
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
MER
0 - 0
LOR
19%
27%
54%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
LUC
1 - 0
GRA
29%
29%
42%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
LUC
1 - 0
BAZ
24%
27%
49%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
TAL
1 - 1
LUC
67%
21%
12%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
LUC
0 - 0
RJA
23%
27%
50%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
ALG
0 - 0
LUC
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |