Lorca Deportiva vs CD Don Benito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 0
LOR
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
LOR
3 - 0
JER
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
EXT
2 - 1
LOR
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
LOR
5 - 2
MAL
9%
22%
69%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
LOR
1 - 0
SEV
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
CD Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
DBN
0 - 0
ALG
35%
30%
35%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
TAL
1 - 1
DBN
44%
28%
28%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
DBN
1 - 0
CDZ
45%
26%
30%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
CAR
3 - 0
DBN
51%
27%
22%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
DBN
2 - 3
CDB
35%
28%
37%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |