Lorca Deportiva vs Algeciras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
7.2%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
ALC
2 - 4
LOR
26%
30%
43%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
LOR
0 - 0
MER
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
AGU
1 - 0
LOR
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
LOR
1 - 0
CAR
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
MEL
1 - 1
LOR
34%
29%
38%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
ALG
0 - 1
GRA
28%
28%
44%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
LUC
3 - 1
ALG
55%
26%
19%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
ALG
2 - 2
TAL
31%
27%
43%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
RJA
1 - 0
ALG
64%
23%
13%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
BAZ
2 - 0
ALG
60%
24%
16%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |