Lorca CF vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
HOS
2 - 0
LOR
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1999 |
LOR
0 - 1
OVI
19%
24%
57%
|
43 | 77 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
LOR
2 - 1
GIM
42%
27%
32%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
FIG
3 - 0
LOR
65%
21%
14%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
LOR
1 - 1
SAB
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
NOV
1 - 1
CAR
26%
28%
46%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1999 |
NOV
0 - 1
POL
44%
28%
28%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
HER
3 - 0
NOV
70%
20%
11%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
NOV
0 - 2
CEP
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
ONT
2 - 1
NOV
53%
25%
22%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |