Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-0
Lorca CF vs Motril CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
LOR
5 - 1
BET
36%
28%
36%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
MOT
0 - 1
LOR
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
MAL
1 - 0
LOR
72%
19%
9%
|
35 | 62 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
LOR
4 - 2
COT
88%
10%
3%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
BUL
3 - 0
LOR
20%
26%
54%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
Motril CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1997 |
MOT
1 - 0
ECI
22%
27%
51%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1997 |
MOT
0 - 1
LOR
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
MME
1 - 1
MOT
63%
23%
15%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
BAE
0 - 1
MOT
25%
28%
47%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
MOT
1 - 1
CDL
62%
23%
15%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |