Lorca CF vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
47.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
GRA
4 - 1
LOR
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
LOR
1 - 1
UDS
39%
25%
36%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
LOR
0 - 3
BET
45%
26%
29%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 1995 |
XER
3 - 1
LOR
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
LOR
1 - 1
MEL
47%
27%
26%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1995 |
MAL
2 - 0
XER
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
MEL
3 - 3
MAL
24%
30%
46%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
MAL
2 - 0
BEN
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1995 |
ELC
2 - 0
MAL
32%
30%
39%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1995 |
MAL
3 - 0
UTR
84%
12%
4%
|
73 | 35 | 38 | 0 |