Lorca CF vs FC Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
36.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
LOR
1 - 0
GRA
37%
28%
35%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
LOR
4 - 2
CAR
81%
13%
6%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
MME
1 - 0
LOR
49%
25%
25%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
LOR
4 - 1
SAN
86%
10%
4%
|
38 | 14 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1999 |
CDB
2 - 3
LOR
12%
26%
61%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
CAR
0 - 0
TER
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1999 |
CAR
1 - 2
CCF
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1999 |
CCF
2 - 0
CAR
49%
24%
27%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 1999 |
CAR
2 - 0
RCF
69%
18%
13%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 1999 |
CUL
1 - 2
CAR
48%
25%
28%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |