Lorca Atlético CF vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
34.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca Atlético CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
POL
0 - 14
LOR
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
LOR
0 - 2
PUE
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
LOR
0 - 0
SRQ
32%
26%
41%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CFB
1 - 1
LOR
58%
23%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 0
LOR
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
RJA
0 - 0
VIL
57%
25%
18%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
CAD
0 - 0
RJA
69%
20%
11%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SEV
1 - 1
RJA
63%
22%
16%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
RJA
1 - 2
CDB
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 2
RJA
58%
25%
18%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |