Lootus vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
48.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lootus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
TIN
6 - 2
LOT
85%
11%
5%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
LOT
0 - 3
FCP
31%
23%
46%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FCP
3 - 0
LOT
76%
14%
10%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
LOT
1 - 3
TIN
20%
21%
60%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 0
LOT
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
FCP
1 - 1
PAR
65%
18%
17%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 1
FLO
30%
24%
45%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
PAI
4 - 0
PAR
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FLO
2 - 1
PAR
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 0
FCP
46%
22%
32%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |