Loon-Plage vs Saint-Omer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
60.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Loon-Plage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
LPL
2 - 0
HER
17%
20%
63%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Omer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
SAI
3 - 1
SAI
35%
23%
42%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
SAI
0 - 2
OIS
32%
24%
44%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
NOI
2 - 1
SAI
66%
19%
15%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
SAI
0 - 5
DIE
37%
25%
39%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
SAI
1 - 0
BEA
41%
25%
34%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |