Longwood vs USC Upstate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
72.4%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Longwood
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
LGW
2 - 3
GWU
51%
21%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
LGW
0 - 0
PST
61%
19%
20%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
LGW
1 - 2
NCA
37%
22%
42%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
USC Upstate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
SCU
5 - 1
PST
86%
9%
4%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
WTR
1 - 4
SCU
7%
13%
79%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CFC
2 - 2
SCU
56%
20%
24%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
RFU
1 - 2
SCU
23%
20%
57%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |