Longwood vs Campbell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
75%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Longwood
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
LGW
0 - 1
SCU
11%
16%
72%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
LGW
2 - 3
GWU
51%
21%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
LGW
0 - 0
PST
61%
19%
20%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
LGW
1 - 2
NCA
37%
22%
42%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Campbell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CFC
8 - 0
PST
87%
9%
4%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
CFC
0 - 1
HPT
38%
22%
40%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CFC
4 - 1
NCA
79%
13%
8%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CFC
2 - 2
SCU
56%
20%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
WTR
0 - 6
CFC
7%
13%
80%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | +1 |