Longuera-Toscal vs Tenerife U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
56.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
14º
7º
44
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 84 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 70 |
2º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 49 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 48 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 45 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 45 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 45 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 43 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 41 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 34 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 34 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 30 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 30 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 30 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 26 |
15º
|
34.5% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 20 |
16º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
24% | 99.5% |
|
Possible next round
|
16.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
59.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Longuera-Toscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
LON
0 - 0
ARU
48%
22%
31%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
JUV
0 - 0
LON
49%
22%
30%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LON
3 - 2
CDJ
66%
18%
16%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
DOR
1 - 3
LON
29%
21%
50%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LON
2 - 1
CDL
22%
21%
57%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Tenerife U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
TNF
2 - 0
JUV
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CDJ
0 - 4
TNF
14%
18%
68%
|
21 | 8 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
TNF
5 - 0
DOR
84%
10%
5%
|
20 | 6 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CDL
1 - 0
TNF
31%
23%
46%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TNF
5 - 1
UNI
74%
16%
11%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |