Longuera-Toscal vs At. Barranco Hondo Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
19.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+321%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
5º
14º
8º
23
9º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 83 |
1º
|
99% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 70 |
2º
|
99% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 48 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 47 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 46 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 45 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 41 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 35 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 34 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 33 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 31 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 28 |
14º
|
28% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 21 |
15º
|
33.5% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 21 |
16º
|
48% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
17% | 11.5% |
|
Possible next round
|
15% | 8% |
|
Mid-table
|
65.5% | 76.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Longuera-Toscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
SOB
0 - 1
LON
62%
19%
18%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
LON
1 - 1
PAS
53%
20%
27%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
ACD
1 - 2
LON
46%
22%
32%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
USY
1 - 0
LON
36%
22%
42%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
LON
1 - 0
ADH
37%
22%
41%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
At. Barranco Hondo Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
BHO
1 - 6
LPM
9%
13%
79%
|
10 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
TNF
1 - 1
BHO
80%
12%
8%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
BHO
0 - 1
JUV
35%
23%
43%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CDJ
3 - 3
BHO
41%
22%
38%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
BHO
2 - 0
DOR
60%
19%
21%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | +1 |