Longuera-Toscal vs Arucas U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
30.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+132%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
5º
14º
8º
31
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 83 |
1º
|
99% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 70 |
2º
|
99% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 48 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 47 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 46 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 45 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 41 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 35 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 34 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 33 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 31 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 28 |
14º
|
28% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 21 |
15º
|
33.5% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 21 |
16º
|
48% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
17% | 55% |
|
Possible next round
|
15% | 14.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
65.5% | 30.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Longuera-Toscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
JUV
0 - 0
LON
49%
22%
30%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LON
3 - 2
CDJ
66%
18%
16%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
DOR
1 - 3
LON
29%
21%
50%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LON
2 - 1
CDL
22%
21%
57%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 1
LON
60%
19%
21%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arucas U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
ARU
2 - 1
BHO
59%
19%
21%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
JUV
4 - 3
ARU
41%
24%
35%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
ARU
3 - 1
ACD
24%
22%
54%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CDJ
4 - 4
ARU
30%
22%
48%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ARU
3 - 0
ADH
33%
24%
44%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +2 |