Longlevens vs Thornbury Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
52.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Longlevens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
LON
1 - 1
WES
14%
17%
69%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
COR
2 - 2
LON
84%
11%
5%
|
8 | 31 | 23 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
LON
0 - 2
PTC
21%
20%
60%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
LON
0 - 1
WAN
43%
21%
36%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
BRI
3 - 3
LON
74%
15%
11%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Thornbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
THO
0 - 1
WOR
14%
19%
68%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
FAI
0 - 2
THO
66%
18%
16%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
WAN
1 - 0
THO
31%
22%
47%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
THO
0 - 2
HER
70%
17%
13%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
THO
1 - 2
CIN
30%
22%
49%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |