Longford Town vs Wexford Youths analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
60.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
7º
10º
10º
47
3º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 60 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 57 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 56 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
5º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 49 |
6º
|
75% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 42 |
7º
|
75.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 38 |
8º
|
81.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 26 |
9º
|
63% | |
|
|
10º
|
21 | 25 |
10º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 98.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Longford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
FIN
1 - 0
LON
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
LON
1 - 0
BRW
22%
25%
53%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
CAO
3 - 2
LON
73%
20%
8%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LON
2 - 2
KEF
62%
21%
18%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LON
1 - 4
TRE
28%
27%
46%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Wexford Youths
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
WEX
0 - 0
BRW
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
WEX
4 - 1
TRE
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
COB
1 - 2
WEX
31%
26%
43%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
WEX
2 - 1
ATH
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 3
WEX
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |