Longford Town vs Waterford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
68%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
6º
9º
8º
69
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Longford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2023 |
WEX
0 - 3
LON
52%
24%
25%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
LON
0 - 3
TRE
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
KEF
2 - 3
LON
6%
15%
80%
|
50 | 6 | 44 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
LON
1 - 0
GAL
15%
24%
61%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
FIN
1 - 1
LON
52%
24%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Waterford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2023 |
FIN
0 - 4
WAT
11%
20%
68%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
WAT
5 - 0
COB
82%
13%
5%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
GAL
2 - 1
WAT
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
WAT
0 - 1
WEX
76%
16%
8%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
BRW
1 - 2
WAT
11%
20%
70%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | +1 |