Longford Town vs UC Dublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
51.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
7º
10º
9º
56
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Longford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
GAL
6 - 0
LON
79%
15%
6%
|
46 | 77 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
ATH
4 - 1
LON
69%
18%
12%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
BRW
0 - 1
LON
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +2 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
LON
1 - 1
FIN
27%
25%
48%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
KEF
2 - 1
LON
22%
23%
55%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
GRA
0 - 4
UCD
6%
11%
83%
|
52 | 9 | 43 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
UCD
2 - 2
SAL
33%
23%
45%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
UCD
1 - 1
TRE
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
UCD
1 - 2
ATH
42%
24%
34%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
COB
2 - 2
UCD
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |